SHANGHAI :
China June Trade Surplus Beats Expectations; Leading Export Indicator Improves for Eighth Consecutive Month
Xu Wei
DATE:  Jul 14 2017
/ SOURCE:  Yicai
China June Trade Surplus Beats Expectations; Leading Export Indicator Improves for Eighth Consecutive Month China June Trade Surplus Beats Expectations; Leading Export Indicator Improves for Eighth Consecutive Month

(Yicai Global) July 14 -- As China's trade at home and abroad keeps improving, the country posted a wider than expected trade surplus in June, data show.

In US dollar terms, China's imports grew 17.2 percent annually to USD1. 54 billion in June, up from 14.8 percent rate last month, while exports were up 11.3 percent to USD196.6 billion, up 8.7 percent from May, China's General Administration of Customs said in a press briefing yesterday. Trade surplus reached USD42,765 million, down 11.1 percent year on year but higher than USD40.81 billion in May. All three figures confounded economists' expectations.

Economists had forecast a USD42.53 billion trade surplus in June and an annual increase of 8.78 percent and 13.79 percent in exports and imports, respectively, per a monthly survey of chief economists by Yicai Global in June.

China's imports grew 18.6 percent annually to USD862.2 billion in the January-August period, exports were up 6.3 percent year on year to USD1.04 trillion, and trade surplus fell 28.3 percent to USD185.06 billion, customs data showed.

China's leading export index came in at 41.5 in June, up 0.4 from last month, marking the eighth consecutive month of increases.

Improving external demand has led to an increase in export volume and contributed greatly to growth in the total value of exports, said Huang Songping, spokesman of the General Administration of Customs.

The World Bank in its latest Global Economic Prospects projects the world economy to grow by 2.7 percent this year, up from 2.4 percent last year.

The International Monetary Fund has also raised its forecast for global economic growth for this year from estimates released earlier this year. The continued recovery in the global economy and the improvements in overseas demand have helped boost China's export growth.

The domestic economy is stable and improving, leading to a sustained increase in imports, Huang added. The Chinese economy continued to stabilize and move in a positive direction in the first half of this year. China's official manufacturing PMI stood at 51.7 in June, marking the 11th consecutive month that the index has been above 50, a level that indicates growth. Improvements in the domestic economy have led to an increase in import demand.

Higher commodity prices have also helped boost growth in imports and exports. The average price of imported iron ore, crude oil, copper and coal rose 55 percent, 47.9 percent, 29.5 percent and 86.3 percent, respectively, in the first half of this year, prompting China's overall import prices to rise 12.7 percent. The increases in import prices influenced domestic production to exports, pushing export prices up by 5.6 percent.

Follow Yicai Global on
Keywords:   Data,Trade