No, it won't.
The new-born population will decrease slightly this year, but it will not fall below 10 million.
In the next few years, China's new-born population will continue to decline, with little chance of a rebound. The new-born population changes according to the population of women of child-bearing age, their age and fertility, with the first two factors being the most critical.
According to the 2010 national census data, the total number of women of child-bearing age will fall from 37.978 million to 33.387 million between 2010 and 2020. The proportion of women in the fertile period (aged 20 to 29 years) to the total number of women of child-bearing age will drop to 24.75 percent from 29.91 percent.