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China's Pig Herd to Recover Next Year, Easing Pork Supply, Ministry Says
Liao Shumin
DATE:  Oct 18 2019
/ SOURCE:  yicai
China's Pig Herd to Recover Next Year, Easing Pork Supply, Ministry Says China's Pig Herd to Recover Next Year, Easing Pork Supply, Ministry Says

(Yicai Global) Oct. 17 -- China's supply of pigs should return to normal next year, according to an agriculture ministry official, after outbreaks of deadly African swine fever in all mainland provinces, Hong Kong and Hainan island devastated the world's biggest hog herd.

The nation's pig rearing capacity is recovering quickly and livestock numbers expected to bottom out by year end, Yang Zhenhai, director of the ministry's Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau, said at a press conference in Beijing today.

The number of hogs on hand rose 0.6 percent to 44.45 million in September from the previous month, while breeding sows gained 3.7 percent to 6.1 million, according to a ministry survey of farms that slaughter more than 5,000 pigs a year.

Some 157 outbreaks of African swine fever had been reported across China as of yesterday, with over 1.19 million hogs culled. A blockade on affected areas in 28 provinces has been lifted, the ministry said.

But pork supply will remain tight in the short term, said Tang Ke, head of the ministry's Department of Market and Economic Information. Prices are expected to stay high on the eve of the new year and before China's Spring Festival holiday in January.

Pork Prices

Meat prices, especially of pork, rose in the third quarter, he said, adding that since last month tight pork supply has eased thanks to various policies. Poultry, beef, mutton, eggs and fish were also relatively available, easing pressure on hog prices.

Pig and pork price hikes in county-level farm produce markets slowed to 1.6 percent and 1 percent in the fourth week of last month from 5 percent and 6.3 percent in the first week, according to ministry data. The figure for the wholesale pork market was 0.2 percent in the final week, braking from 5.1 percent at the start of the month.

China's consumer prices rose at the quickest pace in six years last month as soaring pork prices pushed up the cost of living, according to data the National Bureau of Statistics published on Oct. 15.

The consumer price index jumped 3 percent in September from a year earlier. That's the strongest growth since October 2013. It is also the seventh straight month that the CPI has shown a reading above 2 percent.

Pork prices were the single biggest contributor to the gain. The cost of the meat soared over 69 percent from the same period last year, contributing 1.65 percentage points to the CPI's increase, the NBS said.

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Keywords:   Pork,African Swine Fever